New Caledonia: Further protests likely in South Province and other locations through end December over mine sale /update 1

Event

Protests over the sale of mining company Vale's assets are likely to continue in New Caledonia, especially South Province, through end December. The company announced that it had finalized the sale to a consortium opposed by indigenous and independence groups Dec. 9. Future demonstrations could occur at town halls and prominent roundabouts in South Province; previous actions have occurred in Mont-Dore, Paita, La Conception, La Foa, Bouloupari, and La Coulee. Demonstrations have also taken place in Paagoumene and Kouma in North Province. Additionally, activists have blocked several mining sites, including some SLN (Societe Le Nickel) locations, in the territory. Counterdemonstrations are probable, and citizens opposed to the unrest are likely to continue gathering to call for government intervention; they may also attempt to dismantle roadblocks. Clashes between rival groups cannot be ruled out.

Protesters have blocked roads in several locations, including the Mont-Dore Expressway, Territory Route 1 (RT1), and provincial highways, since early December. Ground transport disruptions are likely. Protesters could also target port activity in the coming days. Activists have also reportedly set a petrol station in La Coulee and several vehicles ablaze since the unrest began, and further arson or vandalism incidents could occur. The company reported a fire at its mine Dec. 14, though the cause is unclear. Localized business disruptions are possible, particularly for companies located near main routes.

Heightened security is likely to continue near probable protest sites, especially government buildings; measures could intensify as police attempt to reopen key roadways and restore order. Authorities may issue temporary laws against carrying weapons, including firearms, specific types of ammunition, and bladed weapons. Police are likely to erect checkpoints and could conduct searches for such items. Authorities have used tear gas to disperse protesters in the previous protests and could employ similar tactics in the coming days. Clashes are possible if police forcibly disperse the protesters or attempt to dismantle roadblocks.

Context

A coalition of civic, political, and indigenous groups, including the Kanak and Socialist National Liberation Front (FLNKS) and the Indigenous Customary Negotiating Body (ICAN), have protested for weeks to push Vale to sell its Goro nickel mine to local company Sofinor and its partner Korea Zinc. However, tensions have spiked after the companies formally withdrew their offer, with some activists alleging the government pressured the company to withdraw the offer. Vale's sale announcement could trigger further demonstrations; leaders previously threatened to escalate their actions if the companies reached a deal, and calls for general strikes remain possible.

Advice

Avoid likely protest sites due to the potential for clashes. Seek updated information on protests as organizers may not announce specific plans in advance. Confirm business appointments near rallies. Plan for localized transport disruptions; check road conditions before traveling between Noumea and other locations in South Province or near mining sites nationwide and allow additional time to reach destinations. If violence occurs nearby, immediately depart the area and seek shelter in a non-governmental building. Heed all official security and transport advisories.