CAR: US Embassy warns of election-related violence Jan. 4 /update 2

Event

The US Embassy in the Central African Republic (CAR) has issued an alert warning of further election-related unrest and violence following the electoral commission's Jan. 4 announcement that President Faustin-Archange Touadera had won the nation's Dec. 27 presidential elections. The alert follows reports of rebel attacks in several areas, including in Bangassou, Jan 3. The attacks have been attributed to the Coalition of Patriots for Change (CPC) armed group.

Attacks by gunmen in Bangui and other cities or villages outside the capital are likely as there is a growing indication that rival armed factions could seek to derail the political process. Related election-related gatherings and protests could also occur. Clashes between demonstrators and security personnel, as well as among rival groups of activists, are possible. Police will almost certainly respond swiftly to any violent incidents. Sustained violence could prompt authorities to impose certain restrictions, such as curfews or road closures.

Context

The overall security situation is extremely poor; the level of fighting has steadily increased in parts of the country since the 2019 peace accord, particularly in northwestern CAR. Security conditions were relatively stable in the capital Bangui for most of 2020, but the situation remains fragile and could deteriorate at any time. Outside Bangui, militias have continued to assert control by setting up roadblocks and committing acts of violence that have exacerbated ethnic tensions. The CPC, a coalition of rebel groups, has threatened to attack Bangui following the breakdown of a peace and integration agreement between it and the government in December 2020.

Advice

Liaise with trusted in-country contacts and monitor the situation closely. Maintain contact with your diplomatic representation, if operating in CAR through mid-January. Avoid all protests, election-related gatherings, or areas where violence has recently occurred. Plan for potential ground travel or business disruptions. Do not drive through protester roadblocks. Reconfirm all business appointments. Heed the instructions of local security personnel. Consider postponing all travel outside the capital if operating in the country.