27 May 2021 | 11:58 AM UTC
Oman: Protests over economic grievances likely nationwide through early June /update 3
Protests over economic conditions will likely continue in several locations throughout Oman, through early June. Heightened security likely.
Event
Protests against high levels of unemployment and perceived corruption are likely in several locations nationwide through at least early June. Protests appear centered around the cities of Sohar and Salalah. Unconfirmed reports indicate protests are also occurring in other cities across Oman, including in Sur, Nizwa, Ibri, Ibra, Rustaq, Suwayq, Al-Khaburah, and the Musandam Peninsula. Security forces have deployed en masse to monitor protests and have fired tear gas at some large gatherings.
Security forces have resorted to tear gas and arrests. Further confrontations between security forces and demonstrators are possible, especially if police forcibly attempt to disperse protesters. Demonstrators may attempt to block or march along roadways, causing localized transport disruptions. Business disruptions are also possible near areas of unrest.
Context
Authorities in Oman do not tolerate any significant form of political expression or dissent. As such, protests are a relatively rare occurrence in the Sultanate. The protests mark the first significant form of unrest since Sultan Haitham bin Tariq ascended to power in early 2020 following the death of the long-ruling Sultan Qaboos.
Oman faces a high unemployment rate of approximately 16 percent. Expatriates and foreign workers occupy the majority of jobs in the private sector. Officials have long pursued Omanization initiatives to increase employment opportunities for Omani nationals; however, the overwhelming majority of Omani nationals are still employed by the state. Should protesters' socioeconomic grievances not be adequately addressed, they have the potential to spread.
In response to the latest protests, Sultan Haitham responded directly to those demonstrating, announcing over 2000 temporary government positions and financial support for new job seekers entering the market. Given some protesters have been demanding the resignation of some government ministers, it remains to be seen whether such incentives will placate protesters.
Advice
Monitor local media sources for updates on protests and road conditions, as organizers may not announce demonstration locations in advance. Avoid all gatherings due to possible clashes. If violence breaks out, leave the area and take shelter in a secure, nongovernmental building. Heed all security personnel instructions.
