Philippines: Authorities tightening security for State of the Nation Address in Metro Manila July 26

Event

President Rodrigo Duterte will deliver his sixth State of the Nation Address (SONA) at the Batasang Pambansa Complex in Quezon City, Metro Manila, July 26. Authorities will increase security throughout the National Capital Region, especially Quezon City, though this year's event will be significantly smaller than in past years due to COVID-19 restrictions. Police will almost certainly establish security cordons near the complex; street closures, roadblocks, and traffic diversions are likely, particularly along Commonwealth Avenue and Batasan Road, which lead to the complex.

Various civic groups and labor unions will likely stage nationwide protests in the days leading up to and on July 26 to denounce the government. The largest protests will likely occur in Metro Manila, where hundreds to thousands may participate in any gathering. Possible protest sites include Mendiola, People Power Monument, Quezon Memorial Circle, Quezon Hall at the University of the Philippines Diliman Campus, and Welcome Rotonda. Elsewhere in the Philippines, demonstrators may rally in urban centers near government offices, public squares, and parks. Sizeable gatherings could also occur in Cebu City and other major cities. Duterte's supporters may organize counterrallies.

Authorities will almost certainly bolster security during any action. Localized transport and business disruptions are likely during gatherings, especially if demonstrators block roads near the protest locations. Clashes could occur if police forcibly disperse any rally or if protesters attempt to break through security barriers. Arrests may occur if security forces consider any demonstrator to violate COVID-19 restrictions.

Context

Civic groups and activists continue to criticize Duterte's administration and its policies, especially the anti-terror law that allegedly curtails freedom of speech, and COVID-19 restrictions. Groups have also been calling for economic reforms and an end to extrajudicial killings, among other demands.

Advice

Avoid likely rally sites and areas around the Batasang Pambansa Complex July 26. Allow additional driving time due to possible traffic disruptions and security checkpoints, especially in Quezon City. Seek updated information on rally sites and associated disruptions, as organizers may not announce rallies in advance. Heed all instructions from security personnel. Confirm business appointments July 26.