North Korea: Military reportedly launches two cruise missiles toward West Sea morning Aug. 17

Event

North Korea reportedly launched two cruise missiles toward the West Sea (Yellow Sea) the morning of Aug. 17. The exact flight path and distance remain unclear. There were no immediate reports of damage, injuries, or transport disruptions following the launch.

Context

The projectile launch is at least partially intended to demonstrate the government's defense policy to counter alleged US aggression for a domestic audience and possibly gain more leverage for future nuclear negotiations. The Aug. 17 launch coincides with President Yoon Suk-yeol's first 100 days in office since his inauguration. While former South Korean President Moon Jae-in adopted a conciliatory approach to North Korea, newly elected Yoon will likely take a tougher stance and possibly engage in retaliatory action should North Korea increase its posturing.

Despite attempts at jumpstarting diplomacy, the geopolitical dynamics on the Korean Peninsula remain largely unaltered, as North Korea has previously stated it will only give up its nuclear weapons in exchange for concrete moves to reduce perceived US threats against it. North Korean leaders have previously warned of stronger actions in response to the latest US sanctions, and further launches remain possible in the coming weeks. However, both sides are likely to avoid any actions that could escalate into a full-scale conflict.