Thailand: Pro-democracy groups likely to demonstrate nationwide through end of August to demand Prime Minister Prayut's resignation

Event

Pro-democracy groups will likely stage demonstrations in some cities across Thailand through the end of August to demand Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha resign from his position due to alleged constitutional limits. The groups will probably also denounce the current government's purported undemocratic policies. The largest gatherings will likely occur Aug. 23 and 24 in Bangkok; activists could gather at the Democracy Monument, Government House, the Parliament, and Pathum Wan, Ratchaprasong, and Sam Yan intersections. Opposition activists have called for a rally on Ratchadamnoen Road from 16:00 Aug. 23. Disruptive rallies may also occur in other urban centers nationwide, such as Chiang Mai, Chonburi, and Songkhla. Pro-government organizations could stage counterprotests nearby pro-democracy events. Hundreds to thousands of people have participated in pro-democracy and pro-government gatherings in Bangkok and other cities nationwide, and similar numbers may join rallies through the end of August.

Authorities will likely heighten security at any gathering venues. Localized transport and business disruptions are possible near rallies, especially for gatherings in urban centers or if demonstrators occupy nearby roads. Officials may close train stations in anticipation of large gatherings, especially in Bangkok and other urban centers. Clashes between opposing groups of activists or police and demonstrators are possible. Mass arrests may occur if security forces deem any activist to violate COVID-19 restrictions; lese majeste laws, which ban insults against the monarchy; or public gathering permit requirements.

Context

Pro-democracy activists and some legal experts say that Prayut is constitutionally limited to serving two four-year terms that will expire by Aug. 24; Prayut was sworn in Aug. 24, 2014. The activists and experts have also expressed concerns that the prime minister may ignore the constitution and remain in his position for another term.

Advice

Avoid any protests through the end of August due to possible clashes. If violence occurs nearby, immediately leave the area and seek shelter at a safe nongovernmental building. Plan for possible localized transport and business disruptions nearby any demonstrations. Allow additional time for travel and use alternative routes to circumvent rally sites. Remain cooperative if stopped by officials for security checks. Heed all official traffic and security advisories.