Lesotho: General election, Oct. 7; heightened security likely nationwide /update 1

Event

Heightened security is likely nationwide ahead of and during the general election, Oct. 7. There is also an increased threat of election-related civil unrest ahead of and after the poll. The UK's Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office updated its Lesotho travel advice, Oct. 3, warning that there had been an increase in crime in recent months, including armed robbery, home invasions, and carjackings in Maseru and other towns. It noted that local police had attributed this to increased gang activity ahead of the elections. It also noted an increase in police and military checkpoints.

Heightened security measures are likely to be focused near political parties' headquarters, polling stations, and electoral facilities before, on, and immediately after Oct. 7. Demonstrations and clashes between supporters of rival political groupings are also possible before, during, and after the vote; this is especially true if any party challenges the results of the election. Authorities may use force to disperse any protests that materialize. Localized road travel disruptions are likely near any incidents of civil unrest or violence.

Context

In 1998 Lesotho changed its electoral system from “first past the post” to a mixed-member system. The PM comes from the party with the majority in the 120-seat parliament, with 80 coming from constituencies and 40 from a proportional division of votes. Lawmakers will elect a prime minister to head the government.

This election reform has resulted in an increase of political parties and associated political instability. Since 2012 and after three elections, no political party in Lesotho has won the majority of parliamentary seats. There are currently about 65 registered political parties.

The outgoing Prime Minister Moeketsi Majoro is not running. The leading candidates are Nkaku Kabi of the current majority party the All Basotho Convention (ABC), Sam Matekane of the Revolution for Prosperity (RFP) party, Mathibeli Mokhothu of the Democratic Congress (DC) and Nqosa Mahao of the Basotho Action Party (BAP). There are indications that parties are receiving support from criminal syndicates which may explain the increase in crime-related incidents ahead of the poll. Should the results be disputed, related violence could increase.

Advice

Exercise caution during the election period and near political party offices, government buildings, and areas with a heavy security presence. Avoid all protests, campaign rallies, and large gatherings before, during, and after the polls, as a precaution. Maintain contact with your diplomatic representation.