Myanmar: Increased security likely nationwide due to upcoming court verdicts for former state leaders Dec. 30

Event

Increased security is likely across Myanmar due to upcoming court verdicts for former leaders Dec. 30. Authorities will deliver the final sentences against several leaders, including former State Counselor Aung San Suu Kyi, who is accused of violating anti-corruption laws and breaching financial regulations on the procurement of helicopters, as well as former President U Win Myint. The court has ruled 14 of the 19 cases against Aung San Suu Kyi and sentenced her to 26 years in prison.

Anti-coup activists could hold demonstrations nationwide to denounce the final court verdict. The largest protests are possible in major cities and towns, including Yangon and Mandalay. Gatherings may occur near government buildings and other popular protest sites, such as public squares and roadways. Dozens to hundreds of people may participate in demonstrations that materialize.

The verdict could also lead to explosions targeting security personnel in rural areas and urban centers, including Yangon, Mandalay, and Naypyidaw, by militant groups such as the People’s Defense Force (PDF) opposing the Tatmadaw (Myanmar military). Armed clashes between the Tatmadaw and PDF, as well as armed ethnic insurgent groups, could also intensify over the coming days and weeks.

Authorities will likely increase security at protest locations. Tight security will probably be in place at government buildings and near critical infrastructure nationwide. Localized transport and business disruptions are probable during any demonstration. Clashes between pro-democracy activists and security forces are likely if protests occur. Security personnel could use force to disperse gatherings; officers and troops have used tear gas and live ammunition to stop previous rallies. Officials may disrupt telecommunication networks in anticipation of or in response to any large or disruptive protests, as well as in areas where clashes occur.

Advice

Exercise extreme caution in Myanmar. Strictly avoid government buildings, security installations, large concentrations of police and soldiers, or any protests that may materialize. Monitor local developments, especially protest plans, closely, as organizers may not announce details in advance. If a demonstration forms nearby, immediately leave the area, seek shelter in a safe, nongovernmental building, and stay away from windows. Shelter in place and avoid all unnecessary movements if operating in locations where demonstrations are taking place. Heed all official security instructions. Register and maintain contact with your diplomatic mission.