Pakistan: Protests likely in Gwadar, Balochistan Province, through at least early May /update 2

Event

Supporters of the Haq Do Tehreek (HDT) movement and other activist groups will likely continue their ongoing campaign of protests in Gwadar, Balochistan Province, through at least early May. The purpose of the action is to condemn the mid-January detention of the movement's leader, as well as several construction projects due to perceived environmental concerns, among other things. On April 6, activists staged a march from Madani Masjid to a major intersection. The Jamaat-e-Islami party has also threatened to hold nationwide demonstrations from May 1 to demand the release of the HDT movement leader.

Further demonstrations of varying types, including localized shutdown strikes, street marches, and blockades, are possible over the coming weeks. Typical rally sites include entrances and access roads to Gwadar Port, Gwadar International Airport (GWD), Gwadar East Bay Expressway, and Lala Hameed Chowk, as well as construction sites, government buildings, press clubs, markets, public squares, and main thoroughfares. The HDT also has a history of targeting China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) projects; hence, protests could also occur near Chinese-owned facilities. Previous demonstrations over the same issues have attracted hundreds of participants.

Authorities will almost certainly monitor any rallies that materialize and may attempt to disperse overly disruptive crowds. Enhanced security measures, such as road closures or temporary restrictions on public movement, internet, and telecommunication services, cannot be ruled out. Clashes between activists and police are possible. Associated localized transport and business disruptions, as well as shipping delays, are possible.

Advice

Avoid all demonstrations due to the potential for violence. Depart the area at the first sign of any security disturbance. Do not attempt to cross roadblocks, as protesters may react violently. Plan accordingly for localized business and transport disruptions, especially near Gwadar East Bay Expressway. Confirm business appointments, road status, and shipping schedules. Use alternative shipping methods for time-sensitive freight. Follow all instructions from security personnel.