17 Jun 2021 | 10:32 AM UTC
Afghanistan: Increased militant violence, mainly by the Taliban, continuing nationwide as of June 17
Increased militant violence, mainly by the Taliban, ongoing in Afghanistan as of June 17 as peace talks continue without making progress
Event
Militant attacks and fighting during security operations are ongoing across parts of Afghanistan as of June 17. Media sources have reported an increase in militant activity in at least 80 districts across the country in recent days. Fighting between security personnel and militants has been reported in several areas, including districts in Faryab, Kandahar, Kunduz, and Uruzgan provinces. The Taliban has taken control of at least 30 districts in recent weeks, especially in central areas of the country. Militants have also conducted small-scale attacks in urban centers, including the capital city, Kabul. Casualties have occurred among security forces, government employees, civilians, and militants. Officials blame the Taliban for most of the attacks, as well as increased criminal activity and roadblocks. The security situation is certain to remain volatile in the coming weeks.
Security
Authorities have announced increased security deployments in Kabul. While Afghan officials say they have successfully repulsed all Taliban attempts to capture district headquarters, heightened security presence and further clashes are likely. Minor bombings and gunfights are typical during such events, and ensuing security operations could last days. Military installations, government buildings, religious sites, and transport hubs are potential targets in cities. Extortion and kidnapping by militants and other opportunistic crime groups are also possible, especially along highways in affected areas. Clashes may also occur if traders or other civil groups launch demonstrations to demand increased security measures; government offices are popular protest locations.
Transport and Commercial
Militant activity and security incidents typically result in blockades, illegal vehicle checkpoints where the collection of illicit taxes and kidnapping of vehicle occupants occur, and road closures. Most highways across Afghanistan, including the Kabul-Kandahar Highway, remain insecure; main roads connecting provinces to Kabul and other urban centers are worst affected. Reports indicate diversions by cargo handlers to avoid increased harassment and possible kidnapping.
Disruptions to business operations, public transportation, government office operations, aid agencies' functioning, consulate services for foreign nationals, and shortages of some goods due to business closures, shipping delays, or looting are likely to occur in impacted areas. Power supply disruptions are possible due to attacks targeting electricity distribution facilities, especially in urban centers like Kabul.
Context
Instances of violence have escalated amid the ongoing withdrawal of international military forces nationwide, which is set to be completed by Sept. 11. However, remaining US military personnel have deployed to protect sensitive sites, especially the US Embassy in Kabul. Talks between the Taliban and Afghan government have resumed with limited progress. The government is struggling to establish a State Security Council, made up of major decision makers, to facilitate talks. Additionally, other groups that are not part of the negotiations, such as the Islamic State (IS), could still carry out attacks. The Afghan government will likely continue with security operations targeting IS and other militant groups. Small-scale and mass-casualty attacks remain a concern nationwide.
Advice
Exercise caution and avoid protests. Defer travel to sites with ongoing security operations; if operating in such an area, remain sheltered in a secure indoor location, away from windows. Confirm business appointments, transport reservations, road status, and deliveries in advance. Ensure contingency plans account for business, transport, and utility disruptions if operating in an affected area. Consider alternative shipping routes, and power supply if businesses are heavily reliant on state-provided electricity. Abide by traffic, security, and evacuation advisories. Liaise with trusted contacts for further updates and guidance. Maintain contact with your diplomatic representation.
