Uganda: Increased security likely as President Yoweri Museveni conducts travel across the country Jan. 21 /update 4

Event

An increased security presence is likely across southwestern Uganda as President Yoweri Museveni conducts travel from his country residence to Kampala Jan. 21. The president is traveling in a convoy from Rwakitura State House in Kiruhura to Kampala. The president's convoy has stopped or will stop at several locations, including Lyantonde at 1200, Kyazannga at 1300, Lukaya at 1400, Kayabwe at 1500, Mpigi at 1600, Busega at 1700, and Kampala City Square at 1800.

Although an increased security is certain to travel with the convoy, disruptions and associated unrest cannot be discounted in areas where the president intends to stop. Further protests and other forms of civil unrest, fueled by allegations of government harassment and intimidation against opponents and critics of Museveni, are possible nationwide following the country's Jan. 14 general election. Museveni was announced as the victor, with almost 59 percent of the vote Jan. 17; the main opposition candidate, Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu, received 35 percent. Ssentamu has rejected the vote count, claiming that the election process was fraudulent, and stated his party will contest the election result. The politician has also accused Museveni of placing him under de facto house arrest by deploying a large security contingent outside his property.

More broadly, security forces will remain deployed in major urban centers and near opposition events - especially those organized by Ssentamu's campaign - as a deterrent in the coming days. Protesters have clashed with security forces in the past; attempts by security forces to disperse gatherings or prevent activists from assembling could increase the potential for disturbances. Police may use tear gas, water cannon, batons, rubber bullets, and live ammunition to disperse protesters. Ground travel disruptions are likely near all protest sites.

Advice

Liaise with trusted contacts regarding possible transport disruptions and security conditions Jan. 21. Heed the directives of the security forces. If violence breaks out nearby, leave the area and seek shelter in a secure, non-governmental building.