06 Jan 2021 | 04:20 AM UTC
Myanmar: Further clashes between ethnic armed groups possible in northern Shan State through mid-January
Additional fighting between ethnic armed groups may occur in northern Shan State, Myanmar, through mid-January. Avoid the area.
Event
Additional clashes between the ethnic armed groups, Restoration Council of Shan State (RCSS) and Ta’ang National Liberation Army (TNLA), may occur in northern Shan State through mid-January. The groups, which are both operating in the state, are fighting over a territorial dispute. Skirmishes reportedly occurred in Hsipaw, Kyaukme, and Namtu townships Jan. 1 and at a village in Kyaukme Township Jan. 4. Reports indicate that the clashes have displaced hundreds of locals and led to casualties, though the numbers are unclear.
The ethnic armed groups will likely maintain a heightened presence in the affected area in the coming days. The Myanmar military (Tatmadaw) may also increase its patrols in the region. Fighting is likely to affect transport in the region, especially roads connecting townships. Authorities could block access to Lashio if skirmishes escalate.
Context
The clashes between RCSS and TNLA points to the fragmented relationship between several ethnic armed groups in parts of Myanmar. Reasons include territorial disputes and ethnic rivalries. While TNLA announced a unilateral ceasefire ahead of the November 2020 general election, clashes have since resumed in early December 2020. Additionally, the Myanmar military is also involved in multiple long-standing armed disputes with several armed organizations due to several factors, including historical ethnic feuds, competition over natural resources, and demands for greater autonomy from a Bamar-dominated central government.
Advice
Consider deferring nonessential travel to affected areas of Shan State until tensions subside and renewed fighting becomes less likely. Seek updated information from trusted local contacts to determine security conditions, as reporting is often delayed. Carry proper identification documents to present at security checks and heed all instructions from security personnel; remain cooperative if stopped for inspections. If operating in the affected region, maintain contact with your diplomatic mission.
