Philippines: Rallies possible nationwide through Feb. 25 to commemorate the People Power Revolution anniversary

Event

Various civic groups may stage rallies nationwide, especially in Metro Manila, through Feb. 25 to commemorate the 37th anniversary of the People Power Revolution (also known as the EDSA Revolution). Several organizations could hold demonstrations against current president Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr., former president Ferdinand Marcos, and the Marcos family in conjunction with the EDSA Revolution rallies. Likely protest sites in Metro Manila include the People Power Monument, EDSA Shrine, Epifanio de los Santos Avenue, Rizal Park, and other sites in Metro Manila. Thousands of people have participated in EDSA anniversary events in the capital in recent years. The government may also hold other activities in conjunction with the anniversary through Feb. 25; officials have previously held programs at Camp Aguinaldo and Malacanang Palace. Smaller events will likely occur at popular gathering sites like government buildings and monuments in other cities, including Bacolod, Cebu, Davao, and Iloilo.

Authorities will likely increase security at any protest sites, such as erecting security cordons and roadblocks. The security measures will likely prompt localized transport and business disruptions, especially if demonstrators occupy nearby roads. Pro-Duterte and pro-Marcos activists could also stage counterrallies during any demonstrations. Clashes between opposing groups of activists or between protesters and security personnel are possible. Mass arrests may occur if officials consider any rally to be disruptive.

Context

The People Power Revolution was a series of popular demonstrations that culminated in the Feb. 25, 1986, downfall of then-President Ferdinand Marcos. Since 2017, several groups have marked the anniversary together with protests denouncing former President Rodrigo Duterte to oppose his administration's policies, which they claim have curtailed political opposition and reduced freedom of expression. Activists could hold protests in 2023 against incumbent president Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr., who is the son of former President Ferdinand Marcos.

Advice

Avoid all demonstrations due to possible clashes. Plan for traffic disruptions near any event venues, and allocate additional time for travel near protest sites. Seek updated information from local, trusted sources on rally plans, as organizers may not announce details in advance. If any violence erupts, immediately depart the area and seek shelter at a safe, non-government building. Heed all official traffic and security advisories.