Kenya: Disruptions due to flooding continue across much of the country as of May 14 /update 2

Flood-related disruptions are ongoing across many parts of Kenya as of May 14. Heavy rainfall has affected much of the country since March, triggering widespread flooding and landslides affecting at least 37 out of Kenya's 47 counties. As of May 14, authorities have reported at least 277 flood-related fatalities across the country since March. At least 188 others have been injured and 75 people are missing. Authorities have evacuated many areas at risk of flooding and landslides across the country; more than 281,800 people have been displaced as of May 14. Many roads across the country have been inundated due to floodwaters, and resultant transport disruptions are likely to continue in the coming days. Most schools resumed classes May 13 after the scheduled return from holiday on April 29 was delayed.

Sunny and dry conditions are forecast over several parts of the country May 14-20; however, showers with isolated heavy downpours are expected to continue over the Central Highlands, Western Kenya, and the Rift Valley. Further showers are likely across the country throughout the remainder of the rainy season through early June. Heavy downpours will likely trigger additional flooding and hamper ongoing relief efforts.

Further sustained heavy rainfall could trigger additional flooding in low-lying communities near rivers, streams, and creeks. Urban flooding is also possible in developed areas with easily overwhelmed stormwater drainage systems. Sites downstream from large reservoirs or rivers may be subject to flash flooding after relatively short periods of intense rainfall. Landslides are possible in hilly or mountainous areas, especially where heavy rainfall has saturated the soil.

Authorities could issue mandatory evacuation orders for flood-prone communities over the coming days. Disruptions to electricity and telecommunications services are possible where significant flooding or landslides impact utility networks.

Floodwaters and debris flows may render some bridges, rail networks, or roadways impassable, impacting overland travel in and around affected areas. Ponding on road surfaces could cause hazardous driving conditions on regional highways. Authorities could temporarily close some low-lying routes that become inundated by floodwaters.

Localized business disruptions may occur in low-lying areas; some businesses might not operate at full capacity because of flood damage to facilities, possible evacuations, and some employees' inability to reach work sites.