India: Authorities will likely increase security in Jammu and Kashmir through Aug. 5 ahead of planned shutdown strike

Event

Indian authorities will likely bolster security across Jammu and Kashmir ahead of a planned Aug. 5 shutdown strike by separatist groups to mark the Indian parliament's 2019 decision to annul the region's special status under Article 370. Support for the Aug. 5 strike will likely be high in the Kashmir Valley amid threats of unrest and militant attacks.

Tightened security measures will probably include increased checks on vehicles and road closures in city centers. Officials may implement curfews, especially in urban areas, or issue security warnings for potential attacks by militant groups. Possible targets include government buildings, military installations, civilian infrastructure, and public places such as transport hubs and religious sites. Authorities may also restrict telecommunication and internet services in case of violence.

Commercial and ground transport disruptions are likely during the strike, especially in the Kashmir Valley. Businesses and transport operators will probably suspend operations due to official restrictions or as a precaution. Strike supporters may hold associated rallies outside government buildings and at prominent intersections and highways across Jammu and Kashmir Aug. 5. Clashes are possible. Authorities may disperse any gathering considered to violate COVID-19 measures.

Advice

Exercise enhanced caution and increased personal vigilance if operating in Jammu and Kashmir Union Territory - and particularly the Kashmir Valley - through Aug. 5. Avoid all demonstrations and limit exposure to any rally sites and potential militant targets. If a demonstration materializes nearby, immediately depart the area. Confirm all business appointments and transport reservations. Heed all instructions from security personnel, and remain alert for possible curfews and other restrictions.