Iraq: Additional protests, clashes likely through mid-January following violent demonstrations Jan. 10 /update 2

Event

Ongoing anti-government protests will likely persist through at least mid-January in Nasiriyah, Dhi Qar Governorate, Iraq. Two protesters and one police officer were killed in clashes in the city's Al Habobi Square on Jan. 10. Dozens of other protesters and security officers sustained injuries.

Authorities will almost certainly maintain a heightened security posture throughout Nasiriyah until the situation stabilizes. Business and transport disruptions will probably persist until security personnel restore full order in the city.

Context

Anti-government demonstrations have continued since they began in October 2019 despite the government's efforts to undertake reforms and appease protesters. Demonstrators are demanding the overhaul of the country's entire political system, which remains unlikely. The demonstrations in Iraq are nonsectarian and have been occurring amid the public's growing dissatisfaction with the political establishment.

Violence and clashes between security forces and protesters will likely persist. Since October 2019, at least 129 people have been killed and more than 2,500 others wounded. Clashes between protesters and and supporters of prominent Shi'a cleric Moqtada al-Sadr have also occurred and will likely continue. Al-Sadr's supporters attacked the protesters' tents, killing four people and wounding dozens of others in November 2020. In response to any violence that may materialize, authorities could impose curfews and put in place other restrictive measures.

Advice

Avoid all protests as a standard security precaution. Exercise caution near likely demonstration sites. Leave immediately and take refuge in a secure, non-government building if violence erupts. Monitor local media for details concerning protest activity, as organizers may not announce plans in advance. Follow police instructions.