Belarus: Demonstrators gather in Minsk September 6 /update 37

Event

Anti-government demonstrators have gathered at Independence Square in Minsk on Sunday, September 6. Participants were reportedly scheduled to gather at various locations in the capital, before marching through the city and congregate at Independence Square at 14:00 (local time). A heightened security presence should be anticipated around the vicinity of Independence Square, as well as elsewhere around the capital including in the vicinity of October Square and near Minsk Hotel on Independence Avenue.

The demonstrations are likely to be met with a strong response by security forces, with associated disruptions to transportation and business probably. Further associated demonstrations in other urban centers are possible.

Context 

Election officials announced that Lukashenko had won 80 percent of the vote in the presidential election held on August 9, with the main opposition candidate Svetlana Tikhanouskaya gaining 9.9 percent. Lukashenko faced few challenges to his sixth term as president, with his main rivals Valery Tsepkalo and Viktor Babariko being barred from standing. However, the run-up to the election saw increased political tensions and opposition protest activity. Opposition groups have denounced the election results as fraudulent.

Protests have taken place throughout Belarus since the election result was announced, with security forces blocking access to a number of cities as clashes with protesters were reported. Security forces have deployed tear gas, rubber bullets, water cannons, batons, and concussion grenades in attempts to disperse crowds. Tikhanouskaya subsequently went into exile in Lithuania. Lukashenko announced on August 17 that he was ready to potentially relinquish power following a constitutional referendum; however, this has failed to stem the unrest. The recent promise of military support from Russian President Vladimir Putin has seemingly emboldened Lukashenko, which may lead to a new wave of harsh crackdowns on opposition demonstrations in Minsk and other urban centers.

Advice

Those in Belarus, particularly in Minsk, are advised to monitor the situation, avoid all demonstrations and large gatherings, adhere to instructions issued by local authorities and their home governments, and refrain from discussing politically sensitive topics in public or on social media.