14 Feb 2021 | 03:20 AM UTC
Thailand: Protest to occur at 14 October 1973 Memorial in Bangkok 1500-1700 Feb. 14
Activists to rally at 14 October 1973 Memorial in Bangkok, Thailand, 1500-1700 Feb. 14. Tight security likely; disruptions possible.
Event
Pro-democracy activists plan to protest at 14 October 1973 Memorial in Bangkok 1500-1700 Feb. 14. Dozens to hundreds of people will probably participate in the rally. The Ratsadon political organization is promoting the demonstration, which will likely boost turnout.
Authorities will likely heighten security near the protest site, including erecting roadblocks and security cordons. Localized transport and business disruptions are possible, especially if activists occupy nearby streets, such as Ratchadamnoen Klang and Tanao roads. Pro-government groups may stage counterprotests near the site. Police will probably disperse demonstrators if they attempt to bypass security cordons. Clashes between rival groups, as well as between protesters and security personnel, are possible. Mass arrests may occur if security forces consider any demonstrators to violate coronavirus disease (COVID-19) restrictions, lese majeste laws that ban alleged insults against the monarchy, or requirements for public gathering permits.
Context
Royalist and pro-democracy activists have staged multiple rival demonstrations in Bangkok and other cities nationwide since July 2020. Pro-democracy groups are denouncing the current government's alleged non-democratic policies and are demanding political reforms, such as rewriting the constitution and Prayuth's resignation. However, royalist groups claim that pro-democracy agendas undermine the monarchy and state institutions and have demonstrated against actions or organizations that they deem are disrespectful of the monarchy.
Advice
Avoid 14 October 1973 Memorial and the surrounding area Feb. 14 due to likely increased security measures and possible clashes. Plan for possible localized transport disruptions. If violence occurs nearby, immediately leave the area and seek shelter in a non-government building. Heed all official traffic and security advisories.