12 Jun 2021 | 06:57 PM UTC
Tunisia: Nationwide protests and clashes likely to continue through at least late June over rising unemployment related to COVID-19 pandemic
Protests over rising COVID-19-related unemployment likely in Tunisia through late June; transport and business disruptions likely.
Event
Protests and associated clashes are likely across Tunisia through at least late June due to rising unemployment stemming from the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Protesters in several cities have recently burned tires, blocked roads, and engaged in acts of vandalism and looting, which have led to the arrests of hundreds of people. In response, the Tunisian government has deployed the military to some cities to protect vital government agencies and institutions.
Security forces will likely remain in place and maintain a heightened security posture over the coming days and weeks. Security personnel will almost certainly deploy to additional locations as new demonstrations materialize. Protests may impact major road routes, including access points to ports of entry and exit; transport and business disruptions are likely near any future demonstrations. Additional clashes between security forces and protesters are likely, especially if protest participants are overly disruptive or fail to heed orders to disperse.
Authorities could impose nightly security-related curfews and deploy additional security forces if violence escalates in the coming days.
Context
Nationwide protests and strikes in response to socioeconomic conditions are prevalent in Tunisia, and the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic have further tested the nation's stability. The current 17 percent unemployment rate will likely rise as the detrimental economic impact of the global crisis ripples throughout the country, exacerbating existing socioeconomic issues. Eastern and southern governorates will be particularly susceptible to demonstrations in the coming weeks and months due to the scarcity of employment opportunities and lack of development.
Advice
Avoid all protest actions due to the potential for violence. Exercise caution near likely rally locations. Monitor local media for protest activity, as organizers may not announce plans in advance. Confirm the availability of transport and allow additional time to reach destinations. Plan for increased security and localized transport disruptions near demonstration sites. Follow the instructions of all security officials.
