Tunisia: President Saied issues a decree expanding presidential powers as of Sept. 22 /update 6

Event

Political uncertainty and heightened security measures will likely persist in Tunisia through at least Oct. 30 after President Kais Saied issued a decree strengthening presidential powers, indefinitely suspending the country's Parliament, and depriving parliamentarians of immunity from prosecution as of Sept. 22. The newly introduced measures will allow Saied to rule by decree, form a new government, and make any policy decisions unanimously. Saied stated he would appoint a new committee to introduce amendments to the 2014 Constitution, likely to increase presidential powers; only the Constitution's preamble and provisions not in conflict with executive and legislative powers will remain in force. Saied's decisions have already drawn criticisms from political parties, particularly Ennahda, the country's largest political party.

A ban on intercity travel and gatherings of more than three people will continue. Additionally, the nightly 23:59-05:00 curfew will remain until further notice amid heightened security measures and possible demonstrations by political groups and organizations.

Authorities will almost certainly maintain heightened security measures to monitor any future large gatherings and protests. Demonstrations are likely in urban centers, particularly in Tunis near major government buildings. Clashes are possible if protesters are overly disruptive or if they ignore police orders to disperse. Authorities may implement additional movement restrictions in the coming days.

Context

Saied cited Article 80 of the Constitution, which grants the president emergency powers in the event of an "imminent threat," as justification for his actions. His opponents have called the move a coup. However, Saied appears to have received popular backing, including from the Tunisian General Labour Union (UGTT), which represents over one million Tunisian workers. Saied initially dismissed the country's prime minister, suspended parliament, and stripped lawmakers of legislative immunity July 25 following nationwide demonstrations. The emergency powers have allowed Saied to rule without a prime minister and parliament.

Tunisia has a recent history of political instability. The country has had several governments since the Arab Spring in 2011. President Saied, who operates sans a political party, was elected in 2019. During his term, Saied has attempted to expand the presidency's powers, bringing him into conflict with his opponents, most recently with the prime minister and the Speaker of the Parliament, Rachid Ghannouchi of the Ennahda party.

Advice

Plan for increased security measures and heed the advice of security personnel. Confirm the availability of transport and allow additional time to reach destinations. Avoid all demonstrations due to the potential for violence. Exercise caution near known or likely protest locations. Monitor local media for protest activity, as organizers may not announce plans in advance. Maintain contact with your diplomatic representation.