Georgia: Former president calls for protests in Tbilisi Oct. 3

Event

Former President Mikhail Saakashvili has called for supporters from around the country to travel to central Tbilisi Oct. 3 to protest against the government. While the exact protest locations have not been announced and likely participation is unclear, vehicle convoys could prompt congestion on major routes and on roads in the city center. Other potential protest venues include central squares, as well as government, such as the Parliament Building on Rustaveli Avenue and the Chancellery building.

Authorities will deploy additional police to monitor any gatherings. Large crowds and associated security measures could prompt localized traffic and public transport disruptions. Counterdemonstrations are possible. Clashes could ensue if rival demonstrators come into contact or attempt to cross police lines. While bystanders are unlikely to be targeted, they would face an indirect physical threat near any clashes.

Context

Georgia is holding local elections Oct. 2 and Saakashvili has vociferously called for citizens to vote against the ruling Georgian Dream Party. While he previously announced that he would return to Georgia on election day, he now claims that he returned Oct. 1; his exact whereabouts are unknown.

Saakashvili served as president 2004-2013 before moving abroad. Criminal charges around corruption and political persecution have since been opened against him, which Saakashvili denounces as politically motivated. Prime Minister Irakli Garibashvili previously warned that he would be arrested on arrival in the country. His arrest could prompt disruptive protests in Tbilisi and other urban centers if confirmed.

Advice

Allow additional time for travel in Tbilisi Oct. 3 and avoid all protests as a routine security precaution and to mitigate associated disruptions. Heed instructions from security forces and leave the area at the first sign of a confrontation.