Tunisia: Nationwide anti-government protests likely on April 9

Event

Anti-government demonstrations are likely across Tunisia April 9 as the nation observes the Martyrs' Day holiday; the day commemorates and honors Tunisians who were killed by French troops following demonstrations demanding the creation of a parliament in 1938. Given the recent anti-government demonstrations, it is likely that activists will use April 9 as an occasion for major rallies and protests in the country.

Political parties could also hold rallies in the days leading up to the holiday. Thousands of people participated in demonstrations organized by the Free Destourian Party in Tunis March 13 in opposition to President Kais Saied's dissolution of the parliament and planned amendments to the constitution. Protests also occurred on Tunisia's Independence Day on March 20. The Ennahda Movement, a self-defined Islamic democratic political party, also has a history of organizing large gatherings on days of historical significance, including holidays and anniversaries of prominent political events.

Heightened security measures and disruptions to transport and business are likely in areas where protests take place. Clashes may occur, particularly if supporters of rival political groups come in close proximity to each other or if police attempt to forcibly disperse crowds. Popular protest sites in Tunisia include public squares, city centers, and government buildings; anti-government protests in Tunis are likely to materialize near the country's parliament building, Habib Bourguiba Avenue, and Municipal Theatre, among other prominent locations. Security forces will likely erect roadblocks and may close roads around planned protest sites to prevent demonstrators from gathering.

Context

Large protests are particularly likely in Tunisia during the 2022 holiday observance given popular dissatisfaction over rising unemployment and cost of living nationwide, issues that have already sparked demonstrations and labor strikes. Such grievances are becoming increasingly widespread as the government struggles to bring political reforms and deliver on its economic promises.

Saied, who was elected in 2019, dissolved Tunisia's parliament, suspended the country's constitution, and removed the prime minister July 25. He has ruled by decree since. Saied remains popular, having pledged to bring about reforms and rid the country of alleged institutional corruption. However, the country’s socioeconomic conditions have worsened during his tenure, especially since the emergence of COVID-19. Therefore, although the Tunisian public has generally been supportive of the president's policies to date, it is unlikely that he can maintain his current level of support if the country's economy continues to deteriorate.

Advice

Avoid all demonstrations due to the potential for violence. Exercise caution near likely protest venues. Monitor local media for protest activity, as organizers may not announce events in advance. Confirm the availability of transport on protest days as rail and traffic disruptions are possible, and allow additional time to reach destinations. Follow all instructions from police. Do not attempt to photograph or otherwise record demonstrations. Immediately leave the area and seek shelter in a secure, nongovernmental building if violence erupts.