India: Maharashtra Navnirman Sena party to rally in Aurangabad, Maharashtra State, May 1

Event

Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS) party leader Raj Thackeray will address a rally in Aurangabad, Maharashtra State, 15:30 May 1. The event will occur at the Marathwada Sanskrutik Mandal Ground in the Naralibag area, and will likely extend through the late evening. Thousands of supporters are set to gather, prompting security measures and localized traffic disruptions.

Increased security is certain at the rally site due to the possibility of violence. The gathering is one in a series of public addresses by Thackeray since he made controversial remarks on mosques during an April 2 rally in Mumbai. Officials have also imposed strict conditions on the event, including limits on duration, attendee numbers, and vehicles used, due to Section 144 orders that are in force across Aurangabad through May 9. The curbs ban unauthorized public gatherings of more than four people, the carrying arms in public, and empower officials to enforce movement and telecommunication controls. Police may attempt to forcibly disperse crowds if organizers defy pre-agreed terms, potentially fueling clashes and violence. Altercations may also break out if rival groups hold counter-demonstrations near the event venue.

Travel disruptions are likely near the rally ground. Increased traffic congestion and demand for transport are probable along routes leading to the site. MNS workers may hold marches or vehicle convoys to the ground, exacerbating travel delays in the vicinity. Additional disruptions may occur due to police roadblocks, traffic diversions, or related protests.

Context

MNS leader Thackeray issued an ultimatum to the Maharashtra state government during an April 2 rally, warning officials of statewide protests from May 3 if they fail to enforce a long-standing court order limiting the use and volume of loudspeakers at religious sites. Thackeray has specifically demanded authorities ensure mosques comply with the rule by May 3, failing which MNS workers plan to play Hindu religious music via loudspeakers outside non-compliant mosques across the state. His speech prompted retaliatory protests by Muslim groups and some political parties who accused him of stoking communal tensions.

Advice

Avoid the event as a precaution. Seek alternative routes to avoid the rally site May 1. Do not navigate roadblocks as protestors could react violently. If violence breaks out, leave the area immediately and shelter in a secure building. Heed all traffic and security advisories.