Papua New Guinea: Tensions to persist nationwide during general election period through July

Event

Papua New Guinea has increased security nationwide ahead of its general election July 2-22 due to the potential for politically motivated violence and unrest. The nomination period will end May 26, kicking off official campaigning. Authorities plan to finalize the election results by July 29, but delays are possible.

Political unrest and violence are likely in the run-up to and during the elections. Candidates will hold rallies in their constituencies, likely attracting thousands of people. Localized violence between rival tribal and political groups could occur; previous instances of electoral violence have led to fatalities during the campaign period. Assassinations, politically motivated kidnappings, and attacks on convoys transporting ballot boxes cannot be ruled out, particularly in Eastern Highlands, Enga, Hela, Jiwaka, Simbu, Southern Highlands, and Western Highlands provinces.

Security issues, natural disasters, and logistical problems may force a postponement of voting in specific constituencies. Allegations of voter intimidation, ballot tampering, and other forms of electoral fraud could spark protests and clashes between rival political party supporters, particularly in the Highlands and mainland cities with large migrant populations, including Port Moresby, Lae, and Madang. Protests and other security disturbances are also possible in the aftermath of the vote, especially if there are any allegations of poll irregularities. Such incidents could occur after polling stations close or once officials announce results. Vandalism, arson, and other attacks could occur during the campaign and voting periods, leading to business disruptions in affected towns.

Thousands of security personnel will deploy for the poll, especially in the Highlands Region, which has traditionally experienced electoral violence. More than 10,000 Special Services Division personnel are operating in 11 hotspots, including provinces in the Highlands Region, parts of West New Britain and Milne Bay provinces, and the National Capital District. Police and military personnel will also augment security ahead of the vote. Transport disruptions are possible in areas where authorities deploy personnel or where unrest occurs.

Advice

Exercise increased vigilance and minimize unnecessary travel during the election period, primarily if operating in designated hotspots. Avoid campaign events, political rallies, and other large gatherings due to the potential for violence. Plan accordingly for potential logistics disruptions if security problems force the closure of sections of the Highlands Highway and/or airports in affected areas. Once the election begins, avoid polling sites. Consider traveling in guarded convoys if overland travel is necessary in the Highlands Region.