North Korea: Military reportedly launches unspecified projectile the morning of June 12

Event

The South Korea-based Korean Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS) stated they detected evidence of multiple projectile launches the morning of June 12. Further details are unclear, such as the location and direction of the launches, or the number of projectiles. There were no immediate reports of damage, injuries, or transport disruptions following the launch.

Context

The projectile launch is at least partially intended to demonstrate the government's defense policy to counter alleged US aggression for a domestic audience and possibly gain more leverage for future nuclear negotiations. The June 12 launch follows a military exercise conducted by South Korea and the US off the coast of Okinawa, Japan. While former South Korean President Moon Jae-in adopted a conciliatory approach to North Korea, newly elected Yoon Seok-youl will likely take a tougher stance and possibly engage in retaliatory action should North Korea increase its posturing.

Despite attempts at jumpstarting diplomacy, the geopolitical dynamics on the Korean Peninsula remain largely unaltered, as North Korea has previously stated it will only give up its nuclear weapons in exchange for concrete moves to reduce perceived US threats against it. North Korean leaders have previously warned of stronger actions in response to the latest US sanctions, and further launches remain possible in the coming weeks. However, both sides are likely to avoid any actions that could escalate into a full-scale conflict.