03 Sep 2022 | 11:13 AM UTC
North Atlantic Ocean: Tropical Storm Earl forms and is tracking west-northwestwards in the southern North Atlantic Ocean early Sept. 3
TS Earl tracking west-northwestwards in the southern North Atlantic Ocean early Sept. 3. Close approach to northern Leeward Islands Sept. 3.
Event
Tropical Storm Earl has formed in the southern North Atlantic Ocean early Sept. 3. As of 05:00 AST, the storm's center of circulation was approximately 190 km (115 miles) east-northeast of northern Leeward Islands. Forecast models indicate the system will track northwestward, strengthen slightly, and make a close approach to the northern Leeward Islands Sept. 3-4. Earl is then likely to gradually turn to track northeastward, away from Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands through at least early Sept. 8. Some uncertainty remains in the track and intensity forecast, and significant changes could occur in the coming days.
As of 05:00 AST Sept. 3, authorities have not yet issued any watches or warnings in relation to the storm. Officials could issue new warnings and/or watches in response to the developing system in the coming hours.
Sustained heavy rainfall could trigger flooding in low-lying areas and those with easily overwhelmed drainage systems. Localized evacuations, flash flooding, and landslides are possible if weather conditions prove hazardous.
The inclement weather could trigger localized business, transport, and utility disruptions, rendering some bridges or roadways impassable. Flight disruptions at regional airports and temporary closures of ports are also possible. Raw sewage and other hazardous materials mixed with floodwaters pose a serious health threat.
Advice
Activate contingency plans in areas where officials forecast typhoon or tropical storm conditions. Heed any evacuation orders that may be issued. Use extreme caution in low-lying coastal areas and near streams, creeks, and other waterways due to the potential for severe flooding and storm surge. Stockpile water, batteries, and other essentials in advance. Charge battery-powered devices when electricity is available; restrict the use of cellular phones to emergencies only. Power down mobile devices when not in use. Keep important documents and necessary medications in waterproof containers. Observe strict food and water precautions, as municipalities could issue boil water advisories following flooding events. Take precautions against insect- and waterborne diseases in the coming weeks.
Plan accordingly for protracted commercial, transport, and logistics disruptions in areas in the path of the storm, especially if vital infrastructure is damaged. Seek updated information on road conditions before driving or routing shipments through areas where flooding has occurred. Confirm flights before checking out of hotels or driving to the airport; clearing passenger backlogs may take several days in some locations.
