North Korea: North Korea launches suspected short-range ballistic missiles into the East Sea Oct. 9

Event

North Korea reportedly fired two short-range ballistic missiles (SRBMs) into the East Sea (Sea of Japan) early Oct. 9. According to South Korean military personnel, the launches originated in Munchon, on the east coast. The SRBMs flew 350 km (217 miles) in the East Sea. There were no reports of damage, injuries, or transport disruptions in connection with the incident.

Context

The launches occurred after a US aircraft carrier returned to Korean waters for joint exercises between the US, South Korea, and Japan on Oct. 6. North Korean authorities are protesting US-South Korea military exercises, which they regard are a rehearsal for an invasion.

Despite North Korea’s spike in missile launches, the geopolitical dynamics on the Korean Peninsula remain largely unaltered, as North Korea has previously stated it will only give up its nuclear weapons in exchange for concrete moves to reduce perceived US threats against it. North Korean leaders have previously warned of stronger actions in response to the latest US sanctions, and further launches remain possible in the coming weeks. The US has also warned that North Korea may test an intercontinental ballistic missile, submarine-launched ballistic missile, and/or a nuclear weapon, which could further escalate tensions in the near term. However, both sides will likely avoid any actions that could escalate into a full-scale conflict.