Gulf Countries: Adverse weather forecast across Jordan, most of Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait through at least Jan. 8 /update 1

Event

Heavy rainfall and thunderstorms are forecast across Jordan, most of Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait through at least Jan. 8. Strong wind gusts and lightning could accompany thunderstorms.

As of early Jan. 4, the Saudi Arabia National Center for Meteorology has issued the following weather warnings across the affected area:

• Red heavy rain and thunderstorm warnings (highest level on a three-tier scale): Al Qassim, most of Eastern, Hail, most of Medina, western Mecca, northern Northern Borders, far northern Riyadh, and northern Tabuk provinces.

• Orange heavy rain and thunderstorm warnings: most of the rest of northern and central Saudi Arabia.

• Yellow heavy rain and thunderstorm warnings: southwestern Saudi Arabia.

The Jordan Meteorological Department has warned of the risk of flooding in valleys and low-lying areas in the southern and eastern parts of the country, including Aqaba, due to heavy rainfall. Fog is possible in the desert and mountainous areas, especially in the country's south; poor visibility is likely.

The Kuwait Meteorological Department has issued a yellow (lower level on a two-tier scale) weather warning for heavy rain; scattered moderate-to-heavy rain and thunderstorms accompanied by strong winds that might exceed 50 kph (31 mph) are forecast. The adverse conditions will cause reduced visibility in some areas and rough seas. Authorities will likely issue new alerts or update/rescind existing advisories as weather conditions change over the coming days. Rainfall is forecast to persist through at least Jan. 8.

Heavy rainfall in Saudi Arabia since Dec. 29 resulted in flooding in Mecca and Medina provinces. Authorities have suspended classes in Jeddah, Rabigh, Madinah, and Taif governorates due to the heavy rain. Additional rainfall will likely exacerbate the current situation and hamper recovery and relief efforts.

Sustained heavy rainfall could trigger flooding in low-lying communities near rivers, streams, and creeks. Urban flooding is also possible in developed areas with easily overwhelmed or a lack of stormwater drainage systems. Sites downstream from large reservoirs or rivers may be subject to flash flooding after relatively short periods of intense rainfall. Landslides are possible in hilly or mountainous areas, especially where the soil has become saturated by heavy rainfall.

Authorities may issue mandatory evacuation orders for flood-prone communities over the coming days. Disruptions to electricity and telecommunications services are possible where significant winds, flooding, and/or landslides impact utility networks.

Due to the arid nature of the region and poor stormwater management in some urban areas, even minor rainfall accumulations could quickly result in episodes of flash flooding. Flooding is possible in streams and wadis (dry riverbeds). Significant rainfall may be preceded by moderate winds and dust storms, though some areas - particularly desert areas - may experience high levels of dust without rain.

The severe weather could contribute to transport disruptions throughout the affected area. Floodwaters and debris flows could render some bridges, rail networks, or roadways impassable, impacting overland travel in and around affected areas. Traffic and commercial trucking delays might occur along regional highways. Authorities could temporarily close some low-lying routes that become inundated by floodwaters. Strong winds might also pose a hazard to high-profile vehicles.

Hazardous weather conditions may cause flight delays and cancellations at airports in the region. Flooding could block regional rail lines; freight and passenger train delays and cancellations are possible in areas with heavy rainfall and potential track inundation.

Localized business disruptions may occur in low-lying areas; some businesses might not operate at full capacity because of flood damage to facilities, possible evacuations, and some employees' inability to reach work sites.

Advice

Seek updated information on weather and road conditions before driving through areas where severe weather is forecast. Plan accordingly for potential freight delivery delays if routing shipments by truck through the affected area. Do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. Review contingency plans. Charge battery-powered devices in the case of prolonged electricity outages.

Resources

National Center for Meteorology - Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
Jordan Meteorological Department
Kuwait Meteorological Department