Kenya: As of March 26 authorities ban nationwide opposition-led protests planned to occur biweekly from March 27. /update 4

Event

On March 26, Kenya's Inspector General of Police issued a nationwide ban on all protests led by the opposition after Azimio la Umoja-One Kenya Coalition (Azmio). The directive was issued after Azmio leader Raila Odinga called for indefinite nationwide protests every Monday and Thursday from March 27. Authorities issued a similar ban on protests in Nairobi specifically on March 24, citing 'security reasons'. Authorities did not immediately indicate how long the protest ban will remain in place. Odinga has stated that protests will go ahead despite the demonstration ban.

The directive is also likely in response to related Azmio-led protests that occurred March 20; clashes erupted between protesters and security forces in Nairobi's Central business district, and Kisumu and Mogori counties; the demonstrations left at least one person dead and more injured. Protesters also engaged in acts of vandalism, arson, and blocking roads during the protests.

Although organizers have not yet announced protest plans, related gatherings will most likely take place near government buildings, stadiums, prominent squares in city centers, and along major thoroughfares. Security personnel will almost certainly be deployed in urban centers across the country and will likely attempt to break up any gatherings that may materialize; given the protests are banned, the potential for violence is elevated. Localized transport and business disruptions are likely to continue near demonstrations. Counter-protests by Ruto's supporters are also possible. Clashes between opposing groups of activists or between security forces and protesters are likely.

Context

Azimio has called for mass demonstrations in response to the government's failure to address the party's concerns in accordance with a 14-day ultimatum issued Feb. 22. As part of the ultimatum, activists demanded the resignation of President William Ruto and that authorities work to lower the cost of living, among other concessions. Supporters of Azimio leader Raila Odinga have held similar demonstrations in recent weeks.

Advice

Avoid all protests or large gatherings due to the risk of associated violence, and adhere to instructions issued by local authorities. Plan for delays near gathering areas. If violence occurs nearby, leave the area immediately and seek shelter in nongovernmental buildings.