Pakistan: Violent stand-off continues in Lahore as of March 15 amid nationwide protests over political leader's imminent arrest /update 2

Event

Nationwide protests by the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) party to denounce ongoing attempts to arrest its leader, Imran Khan, continues as of March 15. Demonstrations have occurred in multiple cities, including Faisalabad, Islamabad, Karachi, Peshawar, Quetta, Rawalpindi, and Sargodha. The largest congregation of supporters has been engaged in a violent stand-off with security forces outside Khan's residence in Lahore's Zaman Park since March 14. Authorities have used tear gas and water cannons and arrested at least 15 PTI workers. Local reports indicate over 30 security officers have been injured in the stand-off. Additional protests and violence are likely in the coming days.

Dozens to several hundred demonstrators may gather at each additional rally, and may engage in clashes, roadblocks, arson, and vandalism. The most significant protest-related disruptions are underway in Lahore. Local officials have issued Section 144 orders prohibiting unauthorized public gatherings of more than five people and the possession of arms, among other rules. Police and protester roadblocks, as well as internet restrictions are affecting the vicinity of Zaman Park. Local schools and businesses have closed or altered operating hours as a precaution. Similar disruptions may affect other areas with unruly and/or widespread demonstrations. Activists in Quetta have also blocked highways connecting Balochistan Province to the rest of the country; any such prolonged highway blockades may significantly disrupt ground shipping.

Authorities have heightened security across Islamabad and Lahore, in addition to deploying police to rally sites in other locations. Tight security is probable at government buildings, diplomatic enclaves, as well as popular protest sites like major intersections, public squares, monuments, and parks in major cities. Enhanced security measures such as limiting entry to Lahore and sensitive areas, including Islamabad's Red Zone and the Islamabad High Court, where Khan may attend hearings are possible. Authorities may impose roadblocks and vehicle checks to prevent unauthorized gatherings. Strict controls on public movement and/or telecommunication services like mobile internet may occur if significant violence occurs. Authorities may also conduct mass arrests or use live ammunition.

Context

Former prime minister Imran Khan faces several lawsuits, mainly related to alleged corruption during his tenure. Khan maintains the charges are politically motivated, and has sought to skip in-person court hearings claiming threats to his life. His party supporters have been demanding fresh elections since he lost power in April 2022, and will likely intensify actions if Khan is arrested.

Advice

Avoid all protests as a security precaution. Allow additional travel time near potential protest sites. Heed all official traffic and security advisories. If violence occurs nearby, immediately depart the area. Confirm business appointments, deliveries, road status, and transport reservations in advance, especially if operating in Lahore. Maintain contact with your diplomatic representation.