US: Protests possible in New York City through March 25 amid controversial grand jury verdict /update 1

Event

Authorities will likely maintain heightened security in New York City's Lower Manhattan area over the coming days out of an abundance of caution in anticipation of a controversial grand jury verdict in a criminal case involving former US President Donald J. Trump. Although details remain unclear since such proceedings are not open to the public, preliminary information suggests that the grand jury could render its decision at some point during the week of March 20-24.

Protests are possible regardless of the grand jury's ruling. Trump has already begun calling on his supporters to stage demonstrations against the proceedings, claiming he expects police to arrest him March 21; while no such gatherings have occurred as of March 19, protests could materialize quickly if the grand jury hands down an indictment and authorities issue an arrest warrant. Conversely, Trump opponents could demonstrate to condemn any decision not to indict the former president. Localized clashes are possible if activists from rival political camps attempt to protest near each other.

Increased security will almost certainly focus primarily around the Manhattan Criminal Court complex at 100 Centre Street, where the grand jury is convening; however, similar measures are likely near other potential demonstration targets, such as the Jacob K. Javits Federal Building at 26 Federal Plaza, the New York City Police Headquarters at 1 Police Plaza, or in the vicinity of properties owned by the Trump organization. Related protests of varying sizes could also occur in other cities nationwide following the grand jury decision.

Context

Despite Trump's statements that he expects an arrest March 21, there is no solid evidence that this will occur. Unconfirmed reports indicate that the grand jury will hear the final witnesses in the case March 20. For authorities to issue an arrest warrant in time for March 21, the grand jury must complete its deliberations and render an indictment March 20 after witness testimony; otherwise, deliberations would probably not resume until March 22.

Advice

Monitor developments. Liaise with trusted contacts for further updates regarding the potential for protests, increased security, and related disruptions, particularly in and around New York City. Avoid any demonstrations that materialize due to possible clashes.