Thailand: Heightened security, rallies continue in Bangkok as of July 16 after opposition leader loses prime ministerial vote in parliament /update 2

Event

Authorities are maintaining heightened security in Bangkok as of July 16 due to ongoing protests in the aftermath of the general elections. Supporters of Pita Limjaroenrat, the leader of the opposition Move Forward Progressive Party (MFP), and pro-democracy groups lead most of the demonstrations. Activists plan to hold a vehicle rally from the Democracy Monument to the Bangkok Art and Culture Center, passing by the army and police headquarters from 13:00 July 16. Further demonstrations are likely in the coming days, as opposition lawmakers have moved a bill to revoke the power of senators to elect the prime minister ahead of a scheduled second parliamentary vote July 19.

Possible gathering locations for additional rallies include government buildings like City Hall, Election Commission, Government House, Parliament Complex, and Supreme Court, as well as public squares such as the Democracy Monument, Lumpini Park, Victory Monument, and Ramkhamhaeng University. Popular rally locations also include the Asok, Din Daeng, and Ratchaprasong intersections. Several hundred to a few thousand people could participate in related demonstrations.

Security deployment, cordons, and road closures, typically affect the vicinity of Parliament Complex and potential demonstration sites. Localized transport disruptions may worsen if protesters occupy or march on roads. Clashes between demonstrators and security personnel are possible, especially if activists attempt to bypass security barriers or defy orders to disperse. Mass arrests could occur if protesters become overly disruptive or security forces determine demonstrators violate any public gathering permit requirements. Significant violence could disrupt local business operations.

Context

MFP won the most seats in the general election held May 14. However, the party faces various challenges, including internal conflicts among coalition members, conservative opposition to policies, and ongoing investigations by the Election Commission (EC) into Pita's eligibility to run for office. On July 12, the EC recommended that the constitutional court suspend Pita, the leading candidate for the prime minister position, due to allegations of violating campaign regulations as a member of parliament. Moreover, the prime minister is elected by the 250-member senate, consisting members appointed by a committee controlled by the Thai military. Pro-democracy activists argue the rule undermines electoral results and helps to maintain the military's political power.

Advice

Avoid any protests due to possible clashes. If any violence occur nearby, immediately leave the area and seek shelter at a safe nongovernmental building. Plan for possible localized transport and business disruptions during any demonstrations. Allow additional time for travel and use alternative routes to circumvent rally sites. Remain cooperative if stopped by officials for security checks. Heed all official traffic and security advisories.