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16 Oct 2023 | 05:38 PM UTC

Asia-Pacific: Additional pro-Palestine demonstrations likely in several countries and territories into late October /update 1

Pro-Palestine rallies likely across parts of Asia-Pacific through late October. Increased security likely; violence possible.

Informational

Event

Additional pro-Palestinian demonstrations are likely to occur in parts of the Asia-Pacific region into late October. In recent days, several groups have organized various types of rallies in solidarity with the ongoing developments in the Middle East. While most instances of civil unrest are expected to be small and peaceful, some gatherings could attract thousands of participants, particularly in the urban centers of Muslim-majority countries, such as Bangladesh, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Pakistan. Heightened security measures are likely near rally locations, as well as diplomatic facilities and religious sites. Counter-demonstrations by pro-Israel groups, clashes, and militant attacks cannot be ruled out; significant violence may necessitate enhanced security measures.

The risk of disruptive and potentially violent protests is most pronounced in South Asia and Southeast Asia, often coinciding with Friday afternoon Islamic prayers. Some foreign governments, including US diplomatic missions, have previously issued advisories for citizens to avoid demonstrations in certain countries, such as Pakistan, due to the potential for violence. Authorities will likely deploy increased security at protest sites and surrounding areas, with the possibility of localized traffic and business disruptions. Activists may become involved in violent altercations with counter-protesters and/or law enforcement, particularly if police attempt to prevent or disperse gatherings. Police may employ force or carry out mass arrests if they perceive demonstrators as overly disruptive, primarily in non-Muslim nations.

Terrorist attacks by Islamist groups remain improbable outside of Afghanistan and Pakistan, but minor-scale actions cannot be discounted, particularly in countries with known militant activity, such as India and Indonesia, as well as southern Thailand and the Philippines. Heightened security measures, including pedestrian and vehicular checks, patrols, and traffic restrictions, are nearly certain near Jewish places of worship, diplomatic buildings, educational institutions, and offices affiliated with Israel and its allies, including the US. Responses to potential security incidents, including suspicious packages, armed attacks, and bomb threats, are expected to be enhanced throughout the region in the coming weeks as a precaution.

Advice

Consider avoiding demonstrations due to the potential for localized disruptions and violence. Do not navigate roadblocks as a safety precaution. Allow additional time for travel and use alternative routes to circumvent rally sites; remain cooperative if stopped by officials for security checks. Monitor trusted local media for updates on protest details, as organizers may not announce them in advance. Heed all official local security and transport advisories.