31 Oct 2023 | 09:01 AM UTC
Red Sea: Heightened tensions likely in Red Sea region through mid-November
Heightened tensions likely in Red Sea region through mid-November in response to Gaza conflict.
Heightened tensions are likely around the Red Sea following reports of missile attacks targeting Israel. On Oct. 19, US and Saudi forces intercepted missiles reportedly launched from Yemen, most likely from the Iran-backed Al-Houthi rebel group. On Oct. 27, the Egyptian towns of Taba and Nuweiba were hit by weaponized drones, allegedly originating from Yemen and targeting Israel. The Al-Houthi rebels previously stated that it was ready to target US and Israeli assets in the region in support of Palestine amid the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict. Tensions are likely to remain heightened as the Al-Houthi rebels continue to threaten Israel.
Heightened security is likely in the Red Sea as the conflict between Hamas and Israel continues to escalate. Further attacks are possible across the Red Sea in the coming days and weeks. An increased naval presence is highly likely in these areas in the short-to-medium term. Maritime disruptions could occur.
Consider avoiding nonessential travel to locations near the Egypt-Israel border, as well as cities bordering the Red Sea. Keep away from locations where security forces appear to be deploying. Heed the instructions of local authorities. Exercise caution and reconfirm routes with maritime authorities if transiting or shipping freight near the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden.
The Al-Houthi rebel group possesses an arsenal of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and weaponized drones, some of which have the range to strike targets in Israel, as well as extensive anti-shipping weaponry, including naval mines, waterborne improvised explosive devices (WBIED), and anti-ship cruise missiles. US, Saudi, and Emirati naval vessels, as well as a number of civilian ships, have been targeted during the nearly decade-long Yemeni Civil War.
The incident coincides with increased tensions in the region connected to the Israel-Hamas conflict in Gaza. The US is an ally of Israel. Anti-Western and anti-Israeli sentiment is currently heightened. Further attempted strikes against Israeli and US interests at sea and on land throughout the region are possible. Attacks could take various forms, including naval mines, anti-ship missiles, drone strikes, and harassment by small boats.
