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29 Jan 2024 | 06:40 PM UTC

Russia: Drone activity targeting hydrocarbon infrastructure likely to continue through at least early February

Drone attacks against hydrocarbon infrastructure likely to continue across western Russia through at least early February.

Informational

Periodic drone strikes against hydrocarbon-processing facilities are likely to continue across western Russia through at least early February. Five strikes targeting oil and gas facilities occurred throughout the region between Jan. 18 and 29, three of which hit their targets. Notably, representatives of the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) claimed responsibility for a Jan. 21 attack targeting a gas terminal in the Leningrad region town of Ust-Luga.

Authorities will likely increase security near any critical infrastructure in the region over the coming weeks. Drones intercepted by air defense systems may cause damage to residential or other business areas. Additional attacks on other critical infrastructure cannot be ruled out.

Monitor official channels for notifications of incoming drone attacks. Seek cover or remain indoors in the event of reports of drone activity, and remain in cover until the all-clear is given. During drone attacks stay away from windows and walls bordering outdoor areas.

Although drone and other strikes have occurred throughout western Russia since the beginning of military operations in Ukraine in early 2022, an unusually high number of strikes have occurred since mid-January. Additionally, the SBU typically neither confirmed nor denied involvement in previous strikes. The fact that SBU officials claimed responsibility for the Jan. 21 attack indicates the adoption of a more aggressive stance on drone attacks into Russia, further implying the likelihood of continued strikes.