Iceland: Authorities warn of increased likelihood of another eruption in the Reykjanes Peninsula as of Feb. 2

Authorities have warned of an increased likelihood of another volcanic eruption in the Reykjanes Peninsula as of Feb. 2. The Icelandic Meteorological Office (IMO) has warned that seismic activity levels recorded near Grindavik, located around 40 km (25 miles) southwest of Reykjavik, are at similar levels to those observed prior to the eruption in the region on Dec. 18 and magma levels are similar to those witnessed prior to the eruption on Jan. 14. The latest hazard assessment for the affected area indicates the threat level remains High (the second highest level on a five-tier scale) for areas north and northeast of Grindavik and Moderate or Considerable for surrounding areas as of Feb. 1. The IMO has warned that the timescale for the next eruption could be within two weeks or possibly days. In light of the recent eruptive activity, Grindavik's nearly 4,000 residents remain evacuated. All roads to and from Grindavik and several other areas in the vicinity of the area of recent volcanic activity remain closed.

Officials may expand evacuation orders and road closures at short notice if another eruption occurs. Eruptive activity at the volcano could prompt transport disruptions in the surrounding area. Lava flows could block highways and damage structures. Ashfall may reduce visibility, causing hazardous driving conditions, and could also pose an increased threat to air traffic; flight disruptions are possible at KEF if sustained eruptive activity continues and winds direct volcanic material in the general direction of the airport.