Pakistan: Ongoing power supply shortages likely to persist in Gilgit-Baltistan through at least early April

Due to an energy crisis, ongoing power supply shortages will likely continue in Gilgit-Baltistan through at least early April. In recent weeks, prolonged load-shedding measures have extended up to 22 hours per day, with related disruptions to telecommunications and internet services also prevalent across most areas of the region.

Related demonstrations of varying types may occur over the coming weeks following recent sporadic protest activity; in mid-February, activists held several rallies, including disruptive road blockades. Typical gathering venues include utility provider offices, power stations, government buildings, and major thoroughfares. Authorities will almost certainly monitor any such gatherings and move to disperse overly disruptive crowds. Clashes between police and activists, as well as between supporters of opposing rival groups, cannot be ruled out. Larger demonstrations may result in associated localized transport and business disruptions.

During load-shedding periods, transport disruptions due to malfunctioning traffic signals or electrical rail infrastructure are also possible. Temporary commercial and communications disruptions, including cellular service disruptions, may also occur during power outages. Government buildings and large businesses relying on private generators are unlikely to be directly affected by outages. Essential services such as ATMs and petrol stations may also temporarily cease to operate during load-shedding periods. Disruptions to the potable water supply are likely in areas dependent on electronic water filtration systems.

There is an increased security risk as a result of power outages. Blackouts could adversely affect security protocols, including alarm systems and electronic fences; opportunistic criminal activity could increase during electricity outages.