27 Mar 2024 | 01:49 PM UTC
Russia: Drone activity targeting hydrocarbon infrastructure likely to continue through April /update 2
Drone attacks on military and critical infrastructure likely to continue across western Russia through April.
Periodic drone strikes against hydrocarbon-processing facilities, military infrastructure, naval bases, airfields, and defense manufacturers are likely to continue across western Russia through April. Strikes usually occur via unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and long-range missiles. Russian self-defense systems may intercept UAVs and missiles, causing missile debris in untargeted areas. Strikes on hydrocarbon facilities intensified in recent weeks, and at increased ranges from Ukrainian terrirory. Further strikes against oil facilities are highly likely.
Authorities will likely maintain tight security near any critical infrastructure in the region over the coming weeks. Occasionally, strikes may hit significant urban centers resulting in civilian casualties. Drones intercepted by air defense systems may cause damage to residential or other business areas. Additional attacks on other critical infrastructure cannot be ruled out.
Monitor official channels for notifications of incoming drone attacks. Seek cover or remain indoors in the event of reports of drone activity, and remain in cover until the all-clear is given. During drone attacks stay away from windows and walls bordering outdoor areas.
Strikes on hydrocarbon facilities have intensified in recent weeks: at least 13 sites have suffered explosions and fires in 2024, with at least five refineries damaged since mid-March. On March 23, local authorities in Samara Oblast reported several attempted drone strikes against oil facilities, at a range of around 1,000 km (600 miles) from Ukrainian territory. Unconfirmed reports indicate that Russian oil refining capacity may be reduced by 5-12 percent. Continued strikes are highly likely.
