Chad: Tight security, political rallies, and disruptions likely nationwide in run-up to May 6 presidential election

Authorities will almost certainly maintain an increased security posture across Chad during the run-up to, and possibly immediately following the nation's May 6 presidential election. Large-scale political events and demonstrations are likely during the official campaign season between April 14 and May 4. Ten candidates will participate in the race, including transitional President Mahamat Idriss Deby and opposition leader Succes Masra, who was appointed Prime Minister in January.

Members of the Chadian Defense and Security Forces will go to the polls on May 5, while nomads and Chadian nationals living abroad will vote on May 5-6. If no candidate obtains a clear majority in the election, the presidential run-off will take place June 22.

Political tensions could intensify as election day approaches. Demonstrations, rallies, and protests will be particularly visible in major cities, including N'Djamena. Security force deployments will probably be exceptionally high near public squares, polling stations, and government facilities to prevent violence. Authorities will likely use force to disperse any protests that materialize; clashes remain possible. Enhanced security measures may include additional checkpoints, curfews, and other restrictions on vehicular and pedestrian movement. Restrictions may be imposed with little warning, particularly in urban areas. Disruptions to urban and intercity transport, business operations, telecommunications, internet, and social media are possible should significant bouts of civil unrest or during preemptive security operations.