10 May 2024 | 04:50 PM UTC
Chad: Increased security likely nationwide through at least late May following announcement of preliminary election results /update 2
Increased security, protests likely across Chad through late May following announcement of preliminary election results. Violence possible.
Increased security is likely across Chad through at least late May following the release of the preliminary results of the nation's recent presidential election. On May 9, the National Election Management Agency (ANGE) announced transitional President Mahamat Idriss Deby as the winner of the polls, receiving 61 percent of the vote. While the results are yet to be validated by the Constitutional Council, the opposition will likely to contest the outcome once that occurs. In anticipation of protests, military units have deployed to strategic locations in N'Djamena. There have been conflicting reports of casualties in the Chadian capital on May 9 during alleged incidents of celebratory gunfire following the announcement.
Further election-related gatherings and protests are possible, generating localized travel disruptions. Security measures could include curfews, internet or communications shutdowns, roadblocks, checkpoints, and searches of vehicles and pedestrians. Police could be quick to use force to disperse any disruptive gatherings that may materialize. Post-election violence remains possible, particularly if opposition activists reject the vote tally or contest the election before the Constitutional Court.
Exercise caution while operating in Chad. Avoid all gatherings and election-related activities, as well as concentrations of security forces. Exercise particular vigilance near police stations, and government buildings. If clashes break out, leave the area immediately and take shelter in a secure, nongovernmental building. Consult with trusted local sources for updated information on security restrictions, road conditions, and possible demonstrations; activist groups may not announce protests in advance. Heed the advice of local authorities. Remain polite and courteous if stopped and questioned by law enforcement personnel.
The polls took place on May 6, with 10 candidates taking part, including transitional President Mahamat Idriss Deby and opposition leader Succes Masra. The election marked the end of the three-year transitional period led by Deby. Preliminary election results were not expected until May 21, prompting some oppositionists to suspect fraud. The Constitutional Court has until May 19 to hear objections and/or validate the results.
