Chad: Increased security likely nationwide through at least late May following recent presidential election /update 1

Heightened security is likely across Chad through at least late May following the nation's recent presidential election. The polls took place on May 6, with 10 candidates participating in the race, including transitional President Mahamat Idriss Deby and opposition leader Succes Masra. Preliminary election results will probably be released on May 21, with the final results announced on June 5. A run-off election will take place on June 22 if no candidate obtains more than 50 percent of the vote. The election marks the end of the three-year transitional period led by President Deby.

Although the election itself occurred largely peacefully, authorities will likely maintain increased security, particularly in major cities, out of an abundance of caution. Police could be quick to use force to disperse any disruptive gatherings that may materialize. Localized transport, business disruptions, and election-related gatherings are possible. Post-election violence remains possible, particularly if opposition activists reject the vote tally.