27 May 2024 | 07:12 PM UTC
MENA: Pro-Palestinian rallies likely across region through at least mid-June
Pro-Palestinian rallies likely across Middle East and North Africa region through at least mid-June. Avoid all protests.
Demonstrations in solidarity with the Palestinians are likely across the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region through at least mid-June. The new wave of protests is in reaction to May 26 airstrikes by Israel Defense Forces (IDF) against a tent camp in Rafah, Gaza Strip, which killed at least 45 people and wounded 249 others. Activists are demanding a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip amid the Israel-Hamas conflict.
Conflict developments will shape the scale and intensity of the demonstrations. While many such events will almost certainly manifest a strong anti-Israeli and anti-Western sentiment, significant violence is unlikely at most of the gatherings.
Demonstrations are most likely to occur near diplomatic missions and offices, particularly those belonging to Israel, the US, and other Western nations. Protests could also materialize near Egypt's, Jordan's, and Lebanon's borders with Israel, as well as generally at public squares, major government buildings, universities, and mosques in metropolitan areas across the region.
Officials will almost certainly maintain a heightened security presence in areas subject to protest activity to monitor gatherings and manage crowds. Associated transport disruptions are likely in affected areas. Clashes between protesters and security forces are possible. Security personnel in Egypt, Jordan, and possibly Lebanon will likely seek to prevent demonstrators from marching toward their respective borders with Israel; confrontations are possible at any such events that materialize. Businesses could also close in response to protests.
Additionally, heightened tensions could produce an elevated threat of violence, as well as increased security measures, near Jewish, Israeli, and overtly Western facilities. Individuals or small groups could attempt to conduct attacks against these sites or individuals associated with them. Assailants could act on behalf of militant groups or alone. Gun, knife, vehicle-ramming, or bomb attacks are possible.
Monitor developments closely. Exercise heightened caution near all likely protest sites and on likely protest days. Avoid all demonstrations as a precaution. Heed the instructions of officials. Plan for localized road transport delays near protest sites. Maintain contact with diplomatic representations. Western and Israeli nationals should maintain a low public profile. Consider avoiding sensitive topics of conversation, particularly with persons unknown to you.
