Pakistan: Sporadic protests denouncing utility supply shortages and prices likely to continue nationwide through at least early June /update 1

Protests denouncing power, gas, and water prices and supply shortages are likely to persist sporadically in Pakistan through at least early June. In recent days, demonstrations have occurred in multiple locations, including at the K-Electric utility provider office on Tipu Sultan Road in Karachi. In Azad Jammu and Kashmir, violent rallies and clashes occurred for several days before organizers called off their action on May 14, after officials agreed to meet several demands, including lowering electricity prices. Additionally, as of May 14, former prime minister and leader of Pakistan Tehrik-e-Insaf (PTI), Imran Khan, has threatened to commence a nationwide protest campaign if the government increases power and gas tariffs.

Additional rallies of varying types by local residents and various political groups are highly probable over the coming weeks. Such gatherings could occur at utility provider offices such as K-Electric, utility supply stations, government buildings, public squares, press clubs, and major thoroughfares.

Authorities will likely monitor any protests that may materialize and move to disperse overly disruptive crowds. Clashes between police and activists cannot be ruled out. Larger demonstrations may result in associated localized transport and business disruptions. Transport disruptions due to malfunctioning traffic signals or electrical rail infrastructure are possible during load-shedding periods. Temporary commercial and communications disruptions, including cellular service disruptions, may also occur during power outages. Additionally, commercial disruptions are likely over the coming weeks, especially for companies that rely on large quantities of municipal water for operations.

Government buildings and large businesses relying on private generators are unlikely to be directly affected by outages; however, authorities may force smaller companies to shut down. Essential services such as ATMs and petrol stations may also temporarily cease to operate during load-shedding periods. Disruptions to the potable water supply are likely in areas dependent on electronic water filtration systems. There is an increased security risk as a result of power outages. Blackouts could adversely affect security protocols, including alarm systems and electronic fences; opportunistic criminal activity could increase during electricity outages.