Kenya: Protests and elevated security are likely in Nairobi and major cities through at least late June /update 4

Authorities will almost certainly increase security nationwide as further disruptive protests are likely in urban centers, especially Nairobi, through at least late June. Activists, mostly youth, are using the "Occupy Parliament" slogan to oppose the government's new finance bill, which would result in increased taxes. Protesters stormed the Parliament building and burned the Nairobi city hall building on June 25, resulting in at least eight fatalities and several injuries; clashes and disruptive protests have been regularly reported since June 20. Monitoring groups reported that internet services were severely disrupted across Kenya during the afternoon of June 25. Protest organizers have reportedly called for additional demonstrations on June 27 to block major roads leading to Nairobi and storming of the State House.

Several consular authorities, including the UK Foreign and Commonwealth Development Office (FCDO) and the embassies of France and the US, have issued notices advising their citizens to avoid demonstrations. However, as of late June 25, consular authorities had not instructed their nationals to evacuate Kenya.  

Authorities will almost certainly deploy a heightened security presence along key thoroughfares, near government buildings, and amid any protest activity that may materialize. Especially tight security is likely in Nairobi around the State House, Parliament Building, government buildings, and along major highways. Security forces may establish checkpoints to prevent protesters from gathering. Activists could also block roads. Clashes between security forces and demonstrators are likely; Kenyan authorities are generally quick to use force in dispersing protests. Business and telecommunications disruptions are possible in areas affected by protest activity. Officials could suspend telecommunications and internet services if unrest escalates.