29 Sep 2024 | 06:35 AM UTC
MENA: Pro-Palestinian rallies likely across the region during first anniversary of Hamas attack Oct. 7
Pro-Palestinian rallies likely in Middle Eastern cities during first Hamas militant attack anniversary Oct. 7. Increased security likely.
Rallies and demonstrations in solidarity with Palestinians are likely across the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region during the first anniversary of the Hamas militant attack in Israel Oct. 7. Organizers of rallies and protests and their participants will almost certainly demand a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip amid the Israel-Hamas conflict. These protests and rallies will be well attended, particularly in Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, parts of Syria, and Yemen. While many demonstrations will almost certainly manifest a strong anti-Israeli and anti-Western sentiment, significant violence is unlikely at most rallies.
Demonstrations are likely to materialize across the region in the following areas:
Near diplomatic missions and offices, particularly those belonging to Israel, the US, and other Western nations.
Downtown areas, public squares, major government buildings, universities, and mosques.
Officials will almost certainly maintain a heightened security presence in areas subject to protest activity to monitor gatherings and manage crowds. Associated transport disruptions are likely in affected areas. Clashes between protesters and security forces are possible. Security personnel in Egypt, Jordan, and possibly Lebanon will likely seek to prevent demonstrators from marching toward their respective borders with Israel; confrontations are possible at any such events that materialize. Businesses could also close in response to protests.
Attacks/Violent Incidents
An elevated threat of violence, as well as increased security measures, are likely near Jewish, Israeli, and overtly Western facilities. Individuals or small groups could attempt to conduct attacks against these sites or individuals associated with them. Assailants could act on behalf of militant groups or alone. Gun, knife, vehicle-ramming, or bomb attacks are possible.
Monitor developments closely. Exercise heightened caution near all likely protest sites. Avoid all demonstrations as a precaution. Heed the instructions of officials. Maintain contact with diplomatic representations. Western and Israeli nationals should maintain a low public profile. Consider avoiding sensitive topics of conversation, particularly with persons unknown to you.
