MENA: Rallies denouncing Israeli airstrikes likely to continue across the region through at least end October

Rallies and demonstrations denouncing Israeli airstrikes in Gaza and Lebanon will likely continue across the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region through at least end October. Organizers of these events and individuals who participate in them continue to demand a ceasefire in the conflict, which has killed approximately 42,000 people in Gaza and more than 2,000 people in Lebanon. These protests and rallies will be well attended, particularly in Iraq, Jordan, Morocco, and Yemen. While many demonstrations will almost certainly manifest a strong anti-Israeli and anti-Western sentiment, significant violence is unlikely at most rallies.

Demonstrations are likely to materialize across the region in the following areas:

• Near diplomatic missions and offices, particularly those belonging to Israel, the US, and other Western nations.

• In Egypt and Jordan near their respective borders with Israel.

• Downtown areas, public squares, major government buildings, universities, and mosques.

Officials will almost certainly maintain a heightened security presence in areas subject to protest activity to monitor gatherings and manage crowds. Associated transport disruptions are likely in affected areas. Clashes between protesters and security forces are possible. Security personnel in Egypt and Jordan will likely seek to prevent demonstrators from marching toward their respective borders with Israel; confrontations are possible at any such events that materialize. Businesses could also close in response to protests.

Attacks/Violent Incidents
An elevated threat of violence, as well as increased security measures, are likely near Jewish, Israeli, and overtly Western facilities. Individuals or small groups could attempt to conduct attacks against these sites or individuals associated with them. Assailants could act on behalf of militant groups or alone. Gun, knife, vehicle-ramming, or bomb attacks are possible.