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19 Nov 2024 | 12:34 PM UTC

South Africa: Adverse weather forecast over parts of Eastern and Western Cape provinces through at least early Nov. 21

Adverse weather forecast over southern and southwestern South Africa through Nov. 21. Transport, business, and utility disruptions possible.

Informational

Severe weather is forecast across parts of Eastern and Western Cape provinces through at least early Nov. 21. A cut-off low-pressure system is expected to bring thunderstorms accompanied by heavy rainfall, strong winds, and possible lightning and hail across the region over the coming days. Heavy downpours may trigger flooding in low-lying areas and landslides on unstable slopes. Strong winds may cause property damage and power outages.

The South African Weather Service has issued the following severe weather warnings across the affected area Nov. 20-21:

  • Orange Level 5 (out of 10) thunderstorm warnings: Central coastal areas and adjacent inland areas of Eastern Cape Province.

  • Yellow level 3 thunderstorm warnings: Parts of central and southern Western Cape Province.

  • Yellow Level 2 severe thunderstorm warnings: Across much of the rest of Eastern Cape Province not under orange warnings.

Officials will likely update and possibly extend the coverage of weather alerts over the coming day.

Sustained heavy rainfall could trigger further flooding in low-lying communities near rivers, streams, and creeks. Urban flooding is also possible in developed areas with easily overwhelmed stormwater drainage systems. Sites located downstream from large reservoirs or rivers may be subject to flash flooding after relatively short periods of intense rainfall. Landslides are possible in hilly or mountainous areas, especially where heavy rain has saturated the soil. Strong winds could create conditions conducive to wildfire development and growth.

Authorities could issue mandatory evacuation orders for flood-prone communities over the coming days. Disruptions to electricity and telecommunications services are possible where significant flooding, strong winds, or landslides impact utility networks.

Floodwaters and debris flows may render some bridges, rail networks, or roadways impassable, impacting overland travel in and around affected areas. Ponding on road surfaces could cause hazardous driving conditions on regional highways. Authorities could temporarily close some low-lying routes that become inundated by floodwaters.

Severe weather could also trigger flight delays and cancellations at regional airports. Flooding could block regional rail lines; freight and passenger train delays and cancellations are possible in areas with heavy rainfall and potential track inundation.

Localized business disruptions may occur in low-lying areas; some businesses might not operate at full capacity because of flood damage to facilities, possible evacuations, and some employees' inability to reach work sites.

Monitor local media for weather updates and related advisories. Confirm all transport reservations and business appointments before travel. Make allowances for localized travel delays and potential supply chain disruptions where flooding has been forecast. Do not drive on flooded roads. Charge battery-powered devices in the case of prolonged electricity outages.