09 Dec 2024 | 07:15 PM UTC
India: Local tensions likely to persist in Manipur State through at least early January despite easing of some security restrictions /update 35
Tight security, rallies, related disruptions likely to continue in Manipur State, India, through at least early January. Exercise caution.
Recurring rallies, heightened security measures, and associated disruptions will likely persist in Manipur State through at least early January. As of Dec. 10, officials have resumed mobile internet services in nine districts, including Bishnupur, Churachandpur, Imphal East, Imphal West, Jiribam, Kakching, Kangpokpi, Pherzawl, and Thoubal. The decision follows a reduction in violent incidents in the affected regions. If renewed violence occurs, authorities will likely reimpose such restrictions and other similar measures, including curfews.
Various activist groups will likely continue to stage sporadic protests across the state, including shutdown strikes (bandh) and roadblocks. Such actions have previously disrupted cargo delivery and vehicular movement between Imphal and other parts of Manipur. Prolonged roadblocks have also been known to affect the transport of essential goods, such as fuel and foodstuffs, especially to and from the Imphal Valley. Kuki- and Meitei-based organizations typically stage the most disruptive strikes. Typical rally sites include the residences of local politicians, security installations, and other prominent government buildings, public squares, and thoroughfares. Larger gatherings often draw thousands of participants.
Authorities will almost certainly maintain an increased security presence across Manipur for the foreseeable future. The government previously deployed over 5,000 personnel to the state to control the unrest. Law enforcement personnel may conduct mass arrests and use force, including rubber bullets, live ammunition, baton charges, and tear gas, to disperse any demonstrations that materialize. Minor bombings, acts of intimidation, sporadic gunfire incidents, clashes, arson, and vandalism targeting rival groups, security personnel, politicians, and government buildings are possible. Kuki militants typically target security personnel near police stations. Associated localized transport and business disruptions are highly likely.
Exercise a high degree of caution if operating in or near Manipur. Keep away from locations where security personnel appear to be deploying. Depart the area at the first sign of any security disturbance. Confirm business appointments, transport reservations, deliveries, and road status. Do not check out of accommodations before confirming onward travel. Carry proper identification documents to present at security checks. Maintain contact with your diplomatic mission. Heed instructions from authorities.
Since May 2023, ethnic conflict between the Kuki and Meitei communities has led to widespread violence, including armed clashes, gunfire, arson, and rioting across various locations in Manipur. The violence began on May 3, following a court order directing the state government to consider extending official tribal status to the Meitei community, which triggered protests by the Kuki community. Official figures indicate that the violence has resulted in over 240 deaths, 1,500 injuries, and the displacement of more than 60,000 residents.
