India: Adverse weather forecast across Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh union territories through at least Jan. 5

Severe weather is forecast across Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh union territories through at least Jan. 5. As of Jan. 3, the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued a press release warning that a western disturbance will bring isolated heavy rainfall and snowfall to the region. The IMD has issued orange heavy rainfall warnings over Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh union territories Jan. 4-5. Officials could update and possibly extend the coverage of weather alerts over the coming days. Heavy downpours may trigger flooding in low-lying areas and landslides on unstable slopes. Hazardous travel conditions are likely in mountainous areas due to reduced visibility caused by blowing snow.

Where precipitation falls as rain, flash and areal flooding is possible. Such flooding is possible in low-lying communities near watercourses and other large bodies of water, as well as in urban areas with easily overwhelmed stormwater drainage systems. Sites located downstream of large reservoirs may be subject to flash flooding after relatively short periods of intense rainfall.

Where precipitation falls as snow in higher elevations, wind gusts could cause blowing and drifting snow; decreased visibility is likely in mountainous areas. Rain-induced landslides cannot be discounted in areas of elevated terrain; there is also the possibility of avalanches in mountainous areas where the snowpack has become unstable due to heavy snowfall. Power outages could occur throughout the affected area.

Floodwaters and related debris may render some bridges, rail networks, or roadways impassable, impacting overland travel in and around the affected area. Flooding in urban areas could also result in significant traffic congestion. Heavy snow will likely make driving hazardous in some areas; authorities could implement temporary road closures or detours in such locations. Mountain passes and tunnels could be closed as a precautionary measure during periods of intense snowfall. Accumulations of snow could block regional rail lines; freight and passenger train delays and cancellations are possible in areas that see heavy rainfall and potential track blockages.