Indonesia: Further demonstrations by Islamist activists likely nationwide through early January after authorities disband FPI /update 2

Event

Islamist activists will likely stage demonstrations across Indonesia through early January to denounce the authorities' decision to disband and ban the Islamic Defenders Front (FPI). The largest protests will probably occur in Jakarta; possible protest venues include the State Palace, FPI's headquarters in Tanah Abang, and the Jakarta Metro Police (Polda Metro Jaya). Demonstrations have also occurred outside police offices and at popular gathering sites like prominent mosques in Bandung, West Java Province's Ciamis Regency, and Medan. Protests may also take place in other cities nationwide, including Makassar and Surabaya. Hundreds to thousands of people have taken part in past FPI rallies, and similar numbers may participate in any upcoming gatherings.

Authorities will almost certainly increase security, including erecting roadblocks and security cordons, at any protest sites. Localized road closures and business disruptions are likely during any gathering, especially if activists occupy or blockade any streets. Groups that oppose FPI may stage counterrallies near any demonstrations. Officials said they would disperse any gathering by FPI members; mass arrests and clashes between protesters and security forces or between opposing groups of activists are possible.

Context

Officials attributed the decision to disband FPI to the group's alleged illegal activities that they claimed have affected social order. FPI, which was founded in 1998, is known for its critical views on other religions. FPI has also conducted large demonstrations against practices or people that allegedly insult Islam, including rallies in 2016 against then-Jakarta governor Basuki Tjahaja Purnama (Ahok) in response to Purnama's alleged blasphemy against Islam. Authorities also detained FPI leader Rizieq Shihab for organizing a Nov. 14 event that allegedly breached coronavirus disease (COVID-19) health protocols.

Advice

Avoid any protest sites and their surrounding areas due to increased security measures and possible clashes. Plan for localized transport and business disruptions. If violence occurs nearby, immediately depart the area and seek shelter at a non-governmental building. Heed all official security and transport advisories.